Real Time Thoughts on Meet the Press (October 31, 2010)

Today would have been all about the election in 2 days, but given the recent I.E.D. from Yemen, Deputy National Security  Advisor John Brennan is here representing the Obama Adminstration on this call.

These are the same people who put together the failed airline bombing on Christmas Day last year, Al Qaeda in the Arabian Penninsula.  A group that was founded in Pakistan, has now moved around to Yemen, and is safely ensconced there.  UPS and Fedex have stopped all shipping from Yemen, but the damage is done.  The terrorists have won at least one element of their purpose: to scare people and to make governments look inward and outward, spread their assets in a way that seems to indeterminate and insecure, at best.

Tim Kaine, Chair of the DNC and Governor Haley Barbour, Chair of the Republican Governors Association are here representing both parties, arguing for the likelihood of victory from each side.

Of course Gov. Barbour is happy to talk about repealing, “Obamacare” on the ground that in a few years, most Americans will not recognize their healthcare provision. (This to me sounds like a good thing.  A more stream-lined and equitable system that does breaks the bank at a lower, rate–unappealing as that sounds–is a fine, fine thing.)

Tim Kaine’s argument is a hard-one: Mitch McConnell’s argument is the promise of things to come.  On a question as to what the GOP would do, Minority Leader McConnell said it would everything to make sure that Obama is a one-term president.

Tim Kaine is arguing for the likelihood of bipartisan-ship.  Lets talk about the deficit: the GOP blocked a legislative organization that would hash out the problems and solutions to the deficit.  It is a good thing that the president appointed by decree a deficit commission (a group that both parties now look to provide answers to a set of problems that defy questions and solutions.)

Chuck Todd, Tom Brokaw, Charlie Cook, Michelle Norris

Todd is talking about the way the GOP can win majority in the Senate and the House.  It’ll be really difficult

The GOP requires 39 seats to win majority.  But 49 Democrats hold seats that voted McCain in 2008.  So these incumbents are deeply involved in the fight of their lives.  Its unlikely that too many of these incumbents will hold their seats in this GOP favored political atmosphere.

Charlie Cook is arguing that there are really 2 elections here.  At the House the election is nearly parliamentary in the national scope of the anti-Democratic incumbency effect.

David Gregory is arguing that the Senate races are closest in ‘blue’ states.  (Well this makes sense, its only the so-called purple, blue leaning states that incumbents have to fight out their seats with insurgent right-wing candidates.)

Gregory is pointing out that both the right and the left are angry at politicians and the media and that the rally to restore sanity is simply registering anger within the left and is doing nothing to help the left or say the Democrats.  The voters are angry, but the chiming cry is that O.K is the new great.  Those with jobs are still feeling the pinch in their pocket books. But given that unlike the last cycle voters have become a pragmatic results oriented set, they want anyone and anything to ride in to the rescue. (Oy! This is not a good posiiton to hold as voters or democrats with a small ‘d.’.  For this is teh same kind of sentiment that allows in fascistic elements in democratic politics.  Think Weimar and the National Socialists.)

Mark Halperin is chiming with the idea that no, so far the left is not exactly excited to push for Democratic votes.  Consider that young liberals could have been canvassing for democrats instead of going to some rally as a response to Jon Stewart’s star power.

Tom Brokaw is saying that whatever the claims of the White House, and of economists like Romer or Summers, voters think that Obama did not have the passion that he promised in 2008.  He doesn’t seem like a fighter for that guy who’s lost his job and is facing foreclosure on his house.

Halpern is chiming in with the same argument.

Michelle Norris is saying the damning thing about President Obama is that most voters don’t quite know or understand the things that he has accomplished.

What’s happening in Florida?  Meek was asked to get behind Charlie Crist by Bill Clinton.  He refused, now Clinton is trying to make nice with Meek in front of black voters.  But the election is all but set for Republican candidate Marco Rubio

Gregory: What do we say about the brash promises that the GOP has made?  Brokaw is saying that there will be internecine conflict between the Tea Party and the mainstream GOP.

Where are the GOP gonna cut spending at teh tune of $100 million.  Michelle Bachmann has promised that the GOP will cut the budget by 23%  and will balance budget. And they will repeal “Obamacare.”  Oh yeah?  You want to go up to teh single income family and tell a mother that she will no longer be able to have her 25 year old son on her healthcare coverage

What about the Bush era $1 trillion dollar prescription drug benefit that is much more expensive that was supposed.  You want to roll that back for senior citizens.

But through it all Mark Halperin is arguing that though the public opinion with journalistic circles supposes that Obama might be better off with a House that is forced to govern, the president cannot assume that will be the case.

Tom Brokaw wrote a Times op-ed that the War in Afghanistan is off the radar of American voters.  We are spending more than a $1 trillion.  1% of the American people are doing 100% of the fighting in these 2 wars.  It’s easy to say that we support our soldiers and our defense budget but the people are not interested in talking about the War as part of their daily discourse.

Charlie Cook is saying that the Democrats are paying the price for supporting and pushing through other policies that did not focus principally on jobs.  Now that one whole year  has passed and voters have not seen the Democrats goose up policies positively impacted jobs, they are angry.  But Charlie Cook is also saying that if the GOP win it will be an unearned win. The people are simply more angry with Democrats than the GOP simply because the Democrats are in power.

Chuck Todd is talking about Florida, Ohio and Colorado for 2012.  Wisconsin is coming back for the GOP.  And this is hugely important for David Plouffe.

Brokaw: keep in mind that Reagan and Clinton were unfavored during their midterm elections and when they ran again, they won huge gains.

~ by Faheem Haider on October 31, 2010.

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